Outlook: Resistant & Transit-Focused

Iran

A pivotal connector in the North-South Corridor. Navigating economic sanctions through record oil exports to the East and expanding INSTC rail infrastructure.

GDP Growth '25

~0.6%

Oil Export (CN)

~1.7M bpd

Inflation

42.4%

Clean Energy

>2.7 GW

COORDS: 35.6892° N, 51.3890° E DATA SOURCE: IMF / LOCAL REPORTS '25

Strategic Vectors 2025

Pillars of resilience and regional integration.

Energy Exports

Crude exports to China hit record highs (approx. 1.7M bpd in late 2025) via ship-to-ship transfers, bypassing sanctions. Critical revenue stream.

Market: China

Transit Corridor

Rasht-Astara railway link (162km) land acquisition ~80% complete. Russian contractors set to commence major works in 2026.

Project: INSTC

Clean Capacity

Surpassed 2.7 GW renewable capacity milestone. Solar sector accelerating with 100MW added weekly to diversify domestic energy mix.

Status: >2.7 GW

Global South

Full BRICS membership (since 2024) facilitating non-dollar trade mechanisms. Strengthening economic ties with Saudi Arabia and neighbors.

Alliance: BRICS+
Political & Economic Hub

Tehran Agglomeration

The administrative heart grappling with high inflation (42%) and urban challenges. Focus remains on stabilizing the Rial and managing the transition to a digital, sanctions-resistant economy.

SECTOR: TEHRAN / KARAJ
SECTOR: RASHT / ANZALI
Gateway to the North

Caspian Transit Zone

The critical node for the INSTC. Rasht and Anzali ports are seeing expanded capacity, while the final rail link to Astara (border with Azerbaijan) is under active development with Russian investment.

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