Outlook: Geopolitical Standoff

Georgia

The bridge between the Black Sea and the Caspian. Balancing economic growth via the Middle Corridor against stalled EU integration and internal polarization.

GDP Growth '25

~7.0%

EU Status

Frozen

Anaklia Port

Dredging

Energy Cable

Surveying

COORDS: 41.7151° N, 44.8271° E DATA SOURCE: ADB / EU COMM '25

Strategic Vectors 2025

Key drivers of development and diplomatic tension.

EU Accession

De facto halted. EU Commission report (Nov '25) labels Georgia "candidate in name only" due to democratic backsliding. High internal polarization.

Status: Stalled

Deep Sea Port

Construction active with Chinese consortium (CCCC). Dredging works by Jan De Nul scheduled for 2026. Strategic node for Middle Corridor capacity.

Partner: CCCC (CN)

Black Sea Cable

"Green Energy Corridor" to Romania in marine survey phase. Feasibility confirmed; aims to export South Caucasus renewable energy to the EU grid.

Phase: Survey

Resilient Growth

7.0% GDP growth forecast. Driven by a booming IT sector, strong tourism ($4.6B revenue), and increasing transit volumes via the Middle Corridor.

Driver: Services/IT
Political & Tech Hub

Tbilisi Agglomeration

The capital remains the center of political gravity and protest. Economically, it thrives as a regional hub for IT relocation and financial services, despite the volatile political climate.

SECTOR: TBILISI / RUSTAVI
SECTOR: ADJARA / ANAKLIA
Maritime Gateway

The Black Sea Coast

Strategic interface with the West. Batumi drives tourism and logistics, while Anaklia (to the north) is the site of the revived deep-sea port project, critical for handling Middle Corridor cargo.

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