Outlook: Transit & Diversification

Azerbaijan

The keystone of the Middle Corridor. Transforming from a pure hydrocarbon exporter to a green energy hub and logistics integrator.

Non-Oil GDP

+6.1%

Transit Vol.

+39%

Gas to EU

~12.5 bcm

Status

Peace Deal

COORDS: 40.4093° N, 49.8671° E DATA SOURCE: STATE STATS / IMF '25

Strategic Vectors 2025

Drivers of post-oil resilience and regional connectivity.

Transit Hub

Cargo volume via Middle Corridor surging (+39%). Strategic integration with China's Xi'an Port accelerating container throughput.

Route: East-West

Caspian Green Power

Legacy of COP29: Major solar/wind projects (Masdar, ACWA Power) in execution. Developing subsea cable to export green electricity to Europe.

Target: EU Export

Energy Security

Stable gas exports to EU (~12.5 bcm). New contracts with SEFE (Germany) and expanded sales to Turkey diversify the portfolio.

Asset: Shah Deniz II

Economic Pivot

Non-oil sector growing at 6.1%, outpacing overall GDP. Construction, logistics, and tourism driving the shift away from hydrocarbon dominance.

Trend: Diversification
Metropolitan Core

Baku & Absheron

The political and financial heart. Baku is reinventing itself as a sustainable city post-COP29, with new green zones and a focus on high-tech services, while managing the operational HQ of SOCAR.

SECTOR: BAKU / ALAT
SECTOR: RESTORATION ZONE
Reconstruction & Peace

Karabakh & East Zangezur

Following the 2025 Washington Peace Agreement, focus is on rapid "Smart Village" reconstruction and demining. The region is designated as a "Green Energy Zone" with hydro and solar potential.

Related Intelligence

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In-Depth Market Intelligence

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