Outlook: Transitional

Afghanistan

A nation in complex transition. Stabilizing the economy through regional transit integration, mining concessions, and large-scale agricultural infrastructure.

GDP Growth '25

~4.3%

Qosh Tepa

Phase 2: 90%

Inflation

~2.0%

Focus

Connectivity

COORDS: 34.5553° N, 69.2075° E DATA SOURCE: WORLD BANK / LOCAL MEDIA '25

Strategic Vectors 2025

Key pillars of economic stabilization and infrastructure.

Water Infrastructure

Qosh Tepa Canal Phase 2 (177km) nearing completion (90%). Headworks 75% complete. Aiming to irrigate 550k hectares in the north.

Project: Qosh Tepa

Mineral Extraction

Mes Aynak Copper project active after years of delay. Site access road completed July '25; archaeological preservation talks ongoing with MCC.

Partner: MCC (CN)

Trans-Afghan Rail

Feasibility study for Termez-Kabul-Peshawar link due early 2026. Strategic aim to link Central Asia to Pakistani ports.

Status: Study Phase

Domestic Energy

Amu Darya oil basin production rising to ~1,350 tons/day. Drilling of 25 new wells planned to boost output to 3,000 tons by late 2025.

Basin: Amu Darya
Administrative Center

Kabul & Resource Corridor

The capital remains the hub for administration and international engagement. To the southeast, the Logar province hosts the Mes Aynak copper deposit, critical for future fiscal revenue.

SECTOR: KABUL / LOGAR
SECTOR: BALKH / JOWZJAN
Agricultural & Energy Hub

Northern Provinces

The epicenter of infrastructure development. The Qosh Tepa canal winds through Balkh and Jowzjan, while Hairatan port serves as the primary trade gateway to Uzbekistan and Central Asia.

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